Conf = NESCAC State = ME
Nickname = White Mules Coach = Karen HenningGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.2711487 home-field advantage = -0.60 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 A Wesleyan NESCAC (16- 4, 97.0) 10- 8 309 H Connecticut College NESCAC ( 7- 8, 89.6) 17- 9 310 H Endicott Commonwealth (12- 8, 87.4) 9- 8 316 H Amherst NESCAC ( 8- 8, 91.7) 8- 9 317 H Roger Williams Commonwealth (10- 8, 87.1) 15- 9 323 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 7- 8, 90.8) 12- 2 326 H Union Liberty Leagu (11- 6, 88.6) 14-10 330 H Tufts NESCAC (16- 4, 97.2) 6-15 402 H Southern Maine Little East ( 6- 8, 75.1) 19- 3 406 A Middlebury NESCAC (23- 0, 99.9) 6-17 410 H Bowdoin NESCAC ( 8- 8, 91.1) 14-11 413 A Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 9, 92.2) 6- 7 414 A Westfield State MASCAC (12- 8, 85.5) 20- 6 420 H Williams NESCAC ( 7- 7, 91.7) 13- 5 424 A Bates NESCAC ( 6- 9, 88.5) 8- 9 427 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 7- 8, 90.8) 13-11 504 A Middlebury NESCAC (23- 0, 99.9) 6-19 512 A TCNJ NJAC (14- 5, 91.1) 15-11 518 A Wesleyan NESCAC (16- 4, 97.0) 7- 5 519 N William Smith Liberty Leagu (20- 4, 94.5) 6-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Wesleyan 10- 8 2 -4 +++ 6.27 309 H Connecticut College 17- 9 8 4 + 2.71 310 H Endicott 9- 8 1 6 -- -5.50 316 H Amherst 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.15 317 H Roger Williams 15- 9 6 6 -0.74 323 A Hamilton 12- 2 10 1 ++ 5.16 326 H Union 14-10 4 5 -1.30 330 H Tufts 6-15 -9 -3 - -3.63 402 H Southern Maine 19- 3 16 18 0.00 406 A Middlebury 6-17 -11 -7 0.00 410 H Bowdoin 14-11 3 2 0.22 413 A Trinity 6- 7 -1 0 -1.51 414 A Westfield State 20- 6 14 7 0.00 420 H Williams 13- 5 8 2 ++ 4.86 424 A Bates 8- 9 -1 4 -- -5.14 427 H Hamilton 13-11 2 3 -1.03 504 A Middlebury 6-19 -13 -7 0.00 512 A TCNJ 15-11 4 1 + 2.40 518 A Wesleyan 7- 5 2 -4 +++ 6.27 519 N William Smith 6-14 -8 -1 -- -5.74UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Endicott 9- 8 1 6 -- -5.50 424 A Bates 8- 9 -1 4 -- -5.14 519 N William Smith 6-14 -8 -1 -- -5.74 316 H Amherst 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.15 330 H Tufts 6-15 -9 -3 - -3.63OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Wesleyan 10- 8 2 -4 +++ 6.27 518 A Wesleyan 7- 5 2 -4 +++ 6.27 323 A Hamilton 12- 2 10 1 ++ 5.16 420 H Williams 13- 5 8 2 ++ 4.86 309 H Connecticut College 17- 9 8 4 + 2.71 512 A TCNJ 15-11 4 1 + 2.40
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 93.27 Power Rank................. 9 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 80.27 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 9 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7314 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 15 RPI Rating............... .6457 RPI Rank................... 21 Champ. Probability ...... 4.0 Championship Rank ......... 7 Selection sum ........... 55 Selection Rank ............ 15 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 25. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 17 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 15. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 19 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7